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Reliance at Crossroads: Premium Valuation or Overpriced Risk?

3-Sep-2025: Reliance is currently trading around ₹1,372 with

P/E ~22.79


P/B ~2.27


EV/EBITDA ~11.4 (TTM)

Peers like BPCL, HPCL, ONGC trade much lower. So, does a “premium multiple” = stronger business?

Most investors focus on P/E. But for conglomerates like Reliance, EV/EBITDA often tells the deeper story.

EV/EBITDA in simple terms

EV/EBITDA = Enterprise Value ÷ EBITDA It shows how the market values operating earnings, regardless of debt or tax.

Why it matters for Reliance

Reliance is no longer just Oil-to-Chemicals. It’s also:


Jio (Telecom & 5G rollout)


Retail (India’s fastest-growing consumer play)


Green Energy (solar, hydrogen)


Digital ventures (AI, partnerships with Google & Meta)

Traditional P/E misses this diversified earnings mix → EV/EBITDA and SOTP provide a clearer lens.

Snapshot vs. Peers

Reliance: ~11.4× EV/EBITDA → premium, reflecting retail & digital bets

•

ExxonMobil: ~7× → cyclical O&G

•

Bharti Airtel: ~9× → telecom-only

•

Walmart: ~11× → retail-focused

Where multiples can mislead

Heavy capex → pressure on free cash flows


O2C segment tied to crude swings


Leverage remains a monitorable

Technical Snapshot

Current trend: Sideways consolidation

•

Support: ₹1,350.10–1,362.65

•

Resistance: ₹1,384.50–1,391.95

•

RSI: Neutral (~55.66) → no strong momentum yet

•

Pattern: Tight range, awaiting breakout

Short-Term Perspective (1–2 weeks)

A sustained move above ₹1,406.80 could indicate strength and open room toward ₹1,430–1,440.


A slide below ₹1,350.10 may suggest weakness, with scope toward ₹1,320–1,330.


Until then, the stock may remain range-bound.

Long-Term Perspective (6–12 months):

Strategic catalysts like the Jio IPO, retail expansion, and green energy roadmap support Reliance’s premium valuation.

o

Investors tracking fundamentals may see value in gradual accumulation on dips, particularly near the ₹1,300 zone, a strong long-term support.

Takeaway

Reliance commands a premium for its diversified growth story.


Short term → consolidation; breakout levels will decide momentum.


Long term → structural growth depends on execution in digital, retail, and green energy.


Fundamentally: Is Reliance’s premium multiple justified by diversification?

Technically: Do you see this consolidation as a launchpad for breakout or a signal for caution?

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